While the U.S. recognition of Morocco’s sovereignty over the Western Sahara in 2020 sparked hopes for a quick British alignment with this stance, London appears trapped in a state of hesitation and internal division.
A History of Mixed Signals
After Brexit, it was anticipated that Britain would adopt a pragmatic foreign policy, reclaiming its role as an independent power seeking to strengthen ties with strategic partners. Morocco, as a key ally in the region, was expected to receive unequivocal British support on the Western Sahara issue. However, British officials have delivered inconsistent signals.
On one hand, the UK has strengthened economic and diplomatic cooperation with Morocco. On the other, statements from officials like British Ambassador to Morocco Simon Martin, as well as official responses to parliamentary inquiries, suggest a vague and cautious stance rooted in traditional UN frameworks.
Reasons for British Hesitation
- Internal Political Divisions
The British political landscape is marked by ideological divisions between the ruling Labour Party and the Conservatives. Labour tends to take a more cautious approach to international issues like the Western Sahara, while the Conservatives are more inclined to align with Morocco on shared strategic interests. - Global Aspirations Beyond Actual Capabilities
Post-Brexit Britain appears eager to play a larger global role, particularly in regions like Ukraine and the Middle East. However, these ambitions often exceed its current economic and military capabilities. Britain’s reliance on U.S. support for such ventures means its policies are vulnerable to shifts in American administrations.
The Trump Factor and Its Impact on Britain
With Donald Trump potentially returning to the White House, the Western Sahara issue could regain prominence in U.S. foreign policy. Known for his strong support for Morocco, Trump might push for the opening of a U.S. consulate in Dakhla and the implementation of major investment projects in Morocco’s southern provinces.
This potential shift in U.S. policy could force Britain to make a choice: either join the new U.S.-led momentum or remain hesitant, which might weaken its position as a strategic partner in addressing global challenges.
The Key Question
Will Britain muster the courage to adopt a clear stance in support of Morocco’s sovereignty? Or will it remain hostage to internal divisions and geopolitical calculations?
The coming months will reveal whether Anglo-Saxon pragmatism returns to its natural course or has permanently diverged. Britain’s decision will not only shape its relations with Morocco but also influence its standing on the global stage as a credible and decisive actor.
